FC Juarez vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
FC Juarez
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 2-2 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez and Monterrey shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 57% of the ball to Monterrey's 43%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 4.06 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 2.83 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Monterrey?
FC Juarez 2-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 38%, draw 28%, Monterrey 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Juarez), Under 2.5 went the other way.