Winchester City 2-2 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+6.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -18%
1.19/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/2.58
-27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Hungerford Town
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 0-1 Winchester City Winchester City FAK
14.09.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
06.04.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
14.11.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 3-5 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City and Hungerford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Winchester City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Winchester City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Winchester City and 1.60 for Hungerford Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Hungerford Town?

Winchester City 2-2 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 50%, draw 20%, Hungerford Town 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Winchester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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