Arlanda 0-2 FC Gute — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.63
Over
49%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arlanda win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
34%
+16.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
66%
-16.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gute EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
2.51/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.03
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
0W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Gute
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
5 Corners 2
20.06.2024 FC Gute FC Gute 2-0 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
26.08.2023 FC Gute FC Gute 4-0 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
29.04.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Gute FC Gute İSÇ4
03.10.2021 FC Gute FC Gute 3-2 HT 2-1 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
03.07.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Gute FC Gute İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs FC Gute
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gute saw off Arlanda 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Arlanda carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Gute led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Arlanda and 2.40 for FC Gute.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs FC Gute?

Arlanda 0-2 FC Gute in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs FC Gute?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 57%, draw 24%, FC Gute 18%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arlanda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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