BK Forward 2-1 Lidköpings FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.33
Over
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.7pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Forward EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
2.49/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.09
+18% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Forward
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Lidköpings FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
8 Corners 6
14.06.2024 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-1 HT 0-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
16.09.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 2-0 HT 2-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
20.05.2023 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 2-1 HT 2-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
25.09.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 2-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
19.06.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 3-4 HT 3-2 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
POST-MATCH BK Forward vs Lidköpings FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BK Forward edged past Lidköpings FK 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BK Forward as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BK Forward had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BK Forward and 1.40 for Lidköpings FK.

What was the final score of BK Forward vs Lidköpings FK?

BK Forward 2-1 Lidköpings FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Lidköpings FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a BK Forward win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 47%, draw 30%, Lidköpings FK 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BK Forward) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BK Forward) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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