12/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Farsta vs Enköpings SK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
40%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
34%
Draw
23%
36%
Away Win
47%
42%
Under 2.5
35%
58%
Over 2.5
65%
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
40%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farsta v Enköpings SK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Farsta
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Enköpings SK
EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-44% /
-44%
3.07/1.88
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.52/2.18
+96%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
-36%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
4
372 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.4
Yellow Cards
–
Farsta vs Enköpings SK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Farsta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Enköpings SK
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
9
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
8
5
Corners
3
The Meetings
25.06.2024
Enköpings SK
2-0
HT 2-0
Farsta
İSÇ4
2-0
HT 2-0
Farsta
İSÇ4
POST-MATCH
Farsta vs Enköpings SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Enköpings SK swept aside Farsta 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Enköpings SK made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Farsta vs Enköpings SK?
Farsta 0-3 Enköpings SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farsta vs Enköpings SK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Enköpings SK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Farsta 30%, draw 34%, Enköpings SK 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enköpings SK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Enköpings SK)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
12 Oct 2024