IK Tord 0-2 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.63
Over
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.49
No
57%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
45%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
IK Tord win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
63%
-20.2pp
57%
BTTS No
37%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Tord EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.56/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.68
-32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Tord
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jonsereds IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.06.2024 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 1-2 HT 1-1 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Tord
0-2
AWAY Jonsereds IF
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH IK Tord vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jonsereds IF got the better of IK Tord 2-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IK Tord at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, IK Tord had 52% of the ball to Jonsereds IF's 48%, shots finished 5-6.

What was the final score of IK Tord vs Jonsereds IF?

IK Tord 0-2 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Tord vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Tord win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IK Tord 58%, draw 21%, Jonsereds IF 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (IK Tord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Tord) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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