12/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Kungsangen vs Falu BS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
23%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
32%
50%
Under 2.5
41%
50%
Over 2.5
59%
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
48%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kungsangen v Falu BS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kungsangen
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Falu BS
EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+19% /
+19%
1.50/1.25
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.96/1.16
-21%
/
+14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+31%
/
+60%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
279 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Kungsangen vs Falu BS Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kungsangen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Falu BS
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Kungsangen vs Falu BS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kungsangen beat Falu BS 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kungsangen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Kungsangen vs Falu BS?
Kungsangen 3-1 Falu BS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kungsangen vs Falu BS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kungsangen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kungsangen 42%, draw 23%, Falu BS 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kungsangen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Kungsangen)
✓ BTTS Yes
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12 Oct 2024