Simrishamn 1-2 IFK Hassleholm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over Pick
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
33%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Hassleholm EU Bookmakers 42%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.60/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.53
-11% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simrishamn
2W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Hassleholm
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14.06.2024 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 1-2 HT 1-2 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
29.07.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
07.04.2023 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 3-1 HT 0-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Simrishamn vs IFK Hassleholm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Hassleholm nicked a narrow win over Simrishamn 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; IFK Hassleholm found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Simrishamn had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Simrishamn and 1.33 for IFK Hassleholm.

What was the final score of Simrishamn vs IFK Hassleholm?

Simrishamn 1-2 IFK Hassleholm in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simrishamn vs IFK Hassleholm?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Hassleholm win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Simrishamn 34%, draw 27%, IFK Hassleholm 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Hassleholm), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Hassleholm) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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