Aldershot Town 2-1 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.18
Over Pick
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.48/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.44
+60% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-1
AWAY Bath City
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town edged past Bath City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aldershot Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 54% of the ball to Bath City's 46%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Bath City?

Aldershot Town 2-1 Bath City in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 49%, draw 25%, Bath City 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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