Cray Wanderers 0-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.07
Over
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No Pick
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.9pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.25
+121% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cray Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels squeezed past Cray Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tonbridge Angels as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Cray Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?

Cray Wanderers 0-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cray Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cray Wanderers 35%, draw 23%, Tonbridge Angels 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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