Farsley AFC 1-2 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.91
Over
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.51/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.81
-2% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kettering Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2023 Kettering Town Kettering Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
25.10.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
09.04.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
28.08.2021 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
04.01.2020 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
07.09.2019 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 3-2 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
1-2
AWAY Kettering Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town edged past Farsley AFC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Kettering Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 47% of the ball to Kettering Town's 53%, shots finished 3-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farsley AFC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farsley AFC and 0.83 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Kettering Town?

Farsley AFC 1-2 Kettering Town in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farsley AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 38%, draw 26%, Kettering Town 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farsley AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farsley AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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