Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

Forest Green Rovers
2-0 HT 1-0
Weymouth
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Weymouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.38
Over Pick
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
43%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Weymouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 16%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.78/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.77
+55% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
165 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 112 · 74%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.0 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7

Forest Green Rovers vs Weymouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
13.04.2009 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
25.08.2008 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 4-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
04.03.2008 Weymouth Weymouth 0-6 HT 0-3 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
14.08.2007 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-2 HT 3-1 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
01.01.2007 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-2 HT 3-0 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
12.09.2006 Weymouth Weymouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers got the better of Weymouth 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.17 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Weymouth?

Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Weymouth in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 55%, draw 23%, Weymouth 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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