Harborough Town vs Bury Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Harborough Town v Bury — Team-Based Signals
Harborough Town edged past Bury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Bury?
Harborough Town 1-0 Bury in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Bury?
Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 42%, draw 27%, Bury 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.