Horsham vs Gorleston Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Horsham v Gorleston — Team-Based Signals
Horsham 1-0 Gorleston — Actual Match Statistics
Horsham nicked a narrow win over Gorleston 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Horsham as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Horsham had 72% of the ball to Gorleston's 28%, shots finished 17-4.
What was the final score of Horsham vs Gorleston?
Horsham 1-0 Gorleston in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Horsham vs Gorleston?
Before kick-off our model rated a Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Horsham 60%, draw 24%, Gorleston 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horsham), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.