Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.1
Over
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
35%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 25%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.67/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.71
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Guiseley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
30.04.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 HT 2-0 Guiseley Guiseley İCON
04.09.2021 Guiseley Guiseley 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
10.12.2019 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
23.01.2016 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İBSL
15.08.2015 Guiseley Guiseley 1-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0-1
AWAY Guiseley
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley nicked a narrow win over Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 67% of the ball to Guiseley's 33%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.60 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Guiseley?

Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Guiseley in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 42%, draw 26%, Guiseley 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
12 Oct 2024
17:00 Chesham United vs Yeovil Analysis →
17:00 Chertsey Town vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Boreham Wood vs Carshalton Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Plymouth Parkway vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Biggleswade Town vs York City Analysis →
17:00 Leiston vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →