Oldham Athletic 4-2 Halifax Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Halifax Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.55/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.73
-68% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +137%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Halifax Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
18.04.2024 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
15.08.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
04.02.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
29.10.2022 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
28.07.2015 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
4-2
AWAY Halifax Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Halifax Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic got the better of Halifax Town 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Oldham Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 47% of the ball to Halifax Town's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halifax Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.50 for Halifax Town.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Halifax Town?

Oldham Athletic 4-2 Halifax Town in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Halifax Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 36%, draw 30%, Halifax Town 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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