Tamworth vs Macclesfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tamworth v Macclesfield — Team-Based Signals
Tamworth 4-2 Macclesfield — Actual Match Statistics
Tamworth saw off Macclesfield 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tamworth found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tamworth had 43% of the ball to Macclesfield's 57%, shots finished 15-16.
What was the final score of Tamworth vs Macclesfield?
Tamworth 4-2 Macclesfield in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Macclesfield?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 35%, draw 26%, Macclesfield 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.