Wealdstone 4-1 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over Pick
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
41%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 22%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.19/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.79
+1% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gosport Borough
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target
Corners 2
16.03.2015 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
4-1
AWAY Gosport Borough
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone cruised past Gosport Borough 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wealdstone as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Wealdstone had 60% of the ball to Gosport Borough's 40%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Gosport Borough?

Wealdstone 4-1 Gosport Borough in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 53%, draw 20%, Gosport Borough 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wealdstone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
12 Oct 2024
17:00 Chesham United vs Yeovil Analysis →
17:00 Chertsey Town vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Boreham Wood vs Carshalton Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Plymouth Parkway vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Biggleswade Town vs York City Analysis →
17:00 Leiston vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →