Guabira 2-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+70% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
192 Passes 256
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-2 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.04.2025 Guabira Guabira 5-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.09.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
10.10.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
23.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
2-1
AWAY Aurora
1.46 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
326 Passes 248
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira nicked a narrow win over Aurora 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guabira had 54% of the ball to Aurora's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.46 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guabira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guabira and 1.00 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Aurora?

Guabira 2-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Guabira 54%, draw 20%, Aurora 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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