Oriente Petrolero 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.68/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.46
+81% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
20.2 Crosses 12.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
228 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2025 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-1 HT 3-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
02.12.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 4-2 HT 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
03.08.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
15.03.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
04.03.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
4-0
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3.49 xG 0.31
65% Ball Possession 35%
31 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
361 Passes 161
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
66 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero swept aside Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 65% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 35%, shots finished 31-7, expected goals 3.49 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 2.00 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Oriente Petrolero 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 47%, draw 25%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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