Mixco 4-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.52/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.59
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Malacateco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-2 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.04.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
13.02.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
10.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
24.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
31.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
4-1
AWAY Malacateco
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco ran out comfortable winners over Malacateco 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mixco had 59% of the ball to Malacateco's 41%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mixco and 0.67 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Malacateco?

Mixco 4-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mixco 57%, draw 24%, Malacateco 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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