Port Vale vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İNTK
1-1
HT 1-1
Wrexham
İNLK
0-2
HT 0-2
Wrexham
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Wrexham
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Port Vale
İN1
Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale and Wrexham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Port Vale had 57% of the ball to Wrexham's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.87 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Port Vale and 1.33 for Wrexham.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Wrexham?
Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Wrexham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 39%, draw 27%, Wrexham 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.