Salford City 3-2 Wolverhampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.82
2-3 Goals
46%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 22% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.0pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.35
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.2 Crosses 13.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.11 xG 0.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
372 Passes 415
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2019 Salford City Salford City 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton U21 Wolverhampton U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
3-2
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
0.45 xG 2.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
320 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Wolverhampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City edged past Wolverhampton U21 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Salford City had 54% of the ball to Wolverhampton U21's 46%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.45 to 2.28 — on chances, Wolverhampton U21 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Wolverhampton U21?

Salford City 3-2 Wolverhampton U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Wolverhampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Salford City 52%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton U21 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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