Tigres UANL 1-0 Toluca — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 12 Dec 2025

Tigres UANL WLWDD→
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Toluca WWDLW→
📅12/12/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 20:38
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.96
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.66
6+
5%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.87
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.83
X/2
10%
7.42
X/X
18%
4.46
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.59
2/X
5%
13.85
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Tigres UANL v Toluca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tigres UANL The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Toluca The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 81%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Toluca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 397
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.07.2025 Toluca Toluca 3-4 HT 1-3 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.05.2025 Toluca Toluca 3-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.05.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 1-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
02.02.2025 Toluca Toluca 1-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
07.11.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
03.03.2024 Toluca Toluca 2-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Tigres UANL 1-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1 - 0
AWAY Toluca
0.72 xG 0.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
299 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Tigres UANL vs Toluca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Toluca 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Tigres UANL had 50% of the ball to Toluca's 50%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.72 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.83 for Toluca.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Result & Final Score

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 46%, draw 29%, Toluca 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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