Backa Topola vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok saw off Backa Topola 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Jagiellonia Bialystok found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Backa Topola had 52% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 48%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.24 to 2.28.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Backa Topola 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 37%, draw 25%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.