Molde 0-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.15
X/1
16%
3.75
X/2
7%
17.55
X/X
8%
7.29
2/1
10%
22.1
2/2
7%
15.3
2/X
5%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.83/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.91
-3% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
39.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.9 Crosses 12.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.00 xG 0.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
426 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde AVKL
06.10.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
0-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.28 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
549 Passes 380
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Molde vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Molde 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Molde carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Molde had 59% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 41%, shots finished 4-5, expected goals 0.28 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Molde and 0.00 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Molde vs Shamrock Rovers?

Molde 0-1 Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Molde 61%, draw 21%, Shamrock Rovers 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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