Gent 0-3 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.99
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
13%
6.72
X/2
19%
4.88
X/X
8%
4.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.04
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -65% / -65%
1.32/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.36
-20% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
19.0 Crosses 29.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
0-3
AWAY Real Betis
0.80 xG 1.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
405 Passes 371
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis ran out comfortable winners over Gent 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Real Betis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gent had 51% of the ball to Real Betis's 49%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.80 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Gent vs Real Betis?

Gent 0-3 Real Betis in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gent 36%, draw 24%, Real Betis 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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