Celje 2-2 APOEL Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY APOEL Nicosia EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +98%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-2
AWAY APOEL Nicosia
1.27 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
412 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs APOEL Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and APOEL Nicosia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Celje had 60% of the ball to APOEL Nicosia's 40%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.27 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Celje vs APOEL Nicosia?

Celje 2-2 APOEL Nicosia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs APOEL Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Celje 41%, draw 25%, APOEL Nicosia 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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