Vikingur R. 2-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.67
1/2
4%
21.1
1/X
6%
18.15
X/1
9%
12.0
X/2
23%
3.99
X/X
14%
6.21
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.84
2/X
4%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-14.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 66%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.64 xG 1.93
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
221 Passes 488
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. edged past Panathinaikos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Panathinaikos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 35% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.64 to 1.93.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Panathinaikos?

Vikingur R. 2-1 Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 28%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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