Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Pafos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Feb 2025

Omonia Nicosia
1-1 HT 0-0
Pafos
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.24
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.93
X/2
10%
5.43
X/X
22%
4.01
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.7
2/X
3%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-8.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omonia Nicosia v Pafos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omonia Nicosia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pafos EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.20/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.5 Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Pafos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omonia Nicosia
1-1
AWAY Pafos
1.25 xG 1.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
248 Passes 389
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 47
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omonia Nicosia and Pafos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Omonia Nicosia had 40% of the ball to Pafos's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.25 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?

Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omonia Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Omonia Nicosia 39%, draw 33%, Pafos 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omonia Nicosia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omonia Nicosia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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