FC Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Feb 2025

FC Copenhagen
1-2 HT 1-0
Heidenheim
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

FC Copenhagen vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.25
X/1
15%
4.05
X/2
9%
11.45
X/X
12%
5.72
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
6%
9.33
2/X
5%
17.35
Value flag · 1/X at 15.25 — our 10% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Copenhagen v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
3.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.48
+35% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.0 Crosses 25.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

FC Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Copenhagen
1-2
AWAY Heidenheim
1.96 xG 2.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
478 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Copenhagen vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim nicked a narrow win over FC Copenhagen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Copenhagen at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Copenhagen had 60% of the ball to Heidenheim's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.96 to 2.20.

What was the final score of FC Copenhagen vs Heidenheim?

FC Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Copenhagen vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Copenhagen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Copenhagen 52%, draw 27%, Heidenheim 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Copenhagen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Copenhagen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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