Rapid Wien 2-1 Borac Banja Luka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
49%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 26% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
17.25
X/1
27%
3.8
X/2
5%
13.35
X/X
11%
5.65
2/1
11%
23.85
2/2
10%
11.85
2/X
4%
20.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 17%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.87/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.89
-80% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
25.1 Crosses 19.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
392 Passes 316
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
50 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2025 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
2-1
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
4.10 xG 0.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
35 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
19 Corners 0
419 Passes 371
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
66 Box Touches 5
41 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Borac Banja Luka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien squeezed past Borac Banja Luka 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 52% of the ball to Borac Banja Luka's 48%, shots finished 35-4, expected goals 4.10 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rapid Wien's control.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Borac Banja Luka?

Rapid Wien 2-1 Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Borac Banja Luka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 53%, draw 26%, Borac Banja Luka 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
13 Mar 2025
20:45 Lugano vs Celje Analysis →
20:45 Cercle Brugge vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →
20:45 Djurgarden vs Pafos Analysis →
23:00 Fiorentina vs Panathinaikos Analysis →
23:00 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Real Betis Analysis →
23:00 Legia Varşova vs Molde Analysis →