Legia Varşova 2-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Mar 2025

Legia Varşova
2-0 HT 1-0
Molde
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2024/2025

Legia Varşova vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
12%
4.44
X/2
8%
9.37
X/X
8%
5.93
2/1
7%
20.35
2/2
16%
6.78
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Legia Varşova v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 25%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.21/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.61
-44% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.5 Crosses 12.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Legia Varşova vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Molde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.64 xG 1.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
351 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2025 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 3-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova AVKL
22.02.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-3 HT 0-2 Molde Molde AVKL
15.02.2024 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 3-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova AVKL

Legia Varşova 2-0 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
2-0
AWAY Molde
1.95 xG 1.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
333 Passes 707
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 42
26 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova saw off Molde 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 36% of the ball to Molde's 64%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.95 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Legia Varşova and 3.00 for Molde.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Molde?

Legia Varşova 2-0 Molde in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 47%, draw 22%, Molde 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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