Lugano vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v Celje — Team-Based Signals
Lugano vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Lugano 5-4 Celje — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano squeezed past Celje 5-4. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lugano had 42% of the ball to Celje's 58%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.78 to 2.56.
What was the final score of Lugano vs Celje?
Lugano 5-4 Celje in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs Celje?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lugano 44%, draw 28%, Celje 29%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.