Cercle Brugge 2-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.71
X/2
12%
7.54
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
15%
5.44
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 30%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.76/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.69
+20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
11.0 Crosses 15.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.94 xG 2.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
203 Passes 266
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
2-0
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
2.05 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 2
256 Passes 181
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge saw off Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Cercle Brugge made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 57% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 43%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.05 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Cercle Brugge 2-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 40%, draw 27%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ BTTS Yes
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