Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.09
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.48
X/2
8%
9.76
X/X
10%
6.36
2/1
7%
19.4
2/2
8%
6.84
2/X
9%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.83/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.21
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.6 Crosses 11.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajax
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
402 Passes 435
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Ajax Ajax 1-2 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
4-1
AWAY Ajax
2.45 xG 0.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
498 Passes 411
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt cruised past Ajax 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 53% of the ball to Ajax's 47%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.45 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax?

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Ajax in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 45%, draw 28%, Ajax 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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