Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
HAZ
Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao saw off Roma 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 70% of the ball to Roma's 30%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.84 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.67 for Roma.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Roma?
Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 45%, draw 28%, Roma 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.