Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Roma nicked a narrow win over Athletic Bilbao 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Roma had 59% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 41%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Roma vs Athletic Bilbao?
Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Europa League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roma 44%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.