Fenerbahçe 1-3 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.24
X/2
11%
10.3
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
9%
8.28
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.70/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.17
+15% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +71%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.5 Crosses 10.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
1-3
AWAY Rangers
1.80 xG 1.82
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
486 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 16
45 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers got the better of Fenerbahçe 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fenerbahçe at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 64% of the ball to Rangers's 36%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.80 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Rangers?

Fenerbahçe 1-3 Rangers in the UEFA Europa League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 49%, draw 26%, Rangers 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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