FCSB 1-3 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Mar 2025

FCSB
1-3 HT 0-1
Lyon
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

FCSB vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
11%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.97
1/2
13%
28.0
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
8%
8.32
X/2
24%
4.34
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
2.54
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FCSB v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 53%
+21% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.05/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/2.00
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
11.6 Crosses 7.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

FCSB vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Lyon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
05.11.2008 Lyon Lyon 2-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ŞMP
21.10.2008 FCSB FCSB 3-5 HT 3-2 Lyon Lyon ŞMP
06.12.2006 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ŞMP
26.09.2006 FCSB FCSB 0-3 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon ŞMP

FCSB 1-3 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-3
AWAY Lyon
1.30 xG 1.43
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 Passes 566
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon saw off FCSB 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FCSB had 33% of the ball to Lyon's 67%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.30 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FCSB and 2.75 for Lyon.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Lyon?

FCSB 1-3 Lyon in the UEFA Europa League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FCSB 26%, draw 27%, Lyon 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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