Real Sociedad 1-1 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Mar 2025

Real Sociedad
1-1 HT 0-0
Manchester United
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
12%
6.41
X/X
9%
3.86
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.98
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.92/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
+25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.8
15.6 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Manchester United
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United AVL
08.09.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad AVL
25.02.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad AVL
18.02.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-4 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United AVL
05.11.2013 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United ŞMP
23.10.2013 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad ŞMP

Real Sociedad 1-1 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-1
AWAY Manchester United
1.46 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
369 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad and Manchester United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 55% of the ball to Manchester United's 45%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.00 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Manchester United?

Real Sociedad 1-1 Manchester United in the UEFA Europa League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 42%, draw 25%, Manchester United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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