Ajax 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.06
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
10%
5.31
X/2
17%
6.78
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
15%
4.48
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.85/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.09
+4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
14.1 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
1-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.52 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
435 Passes 402
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt edged past Ajax 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Eintracht Frankfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ajax had 52% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 48%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.52 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Ajax 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt in the UEFA Europa League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ajax 37%, draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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