Viktoria Plzen 1-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Mar 2025

Viktoria Plzen
1-2 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Viktoria Plzen vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
14%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.83
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
11%
8.18
X/2
21%
4.31
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.54
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Plzen v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 54%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.85/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
+66% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -44%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.0 Crosses 13.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Viktoria Plzen 1-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-2
AWAY Lazio
1.61 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
359 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio squeezed past Viktoria Plzen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 56% of the ball to Lazio's 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.61 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Lazio?

Viktoria Plzen 1-2 Lazio in the UEFA Europa League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 30%, draw 25%, Lazio 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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