Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 26 Sep 2024

Roma
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.54
X/2
7%
6.85
X/X
11%
3.99
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
11%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
44%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roma v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
2.14/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.28
+41% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
11.0 Crosses 4.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
516 Passes 274
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.08.2019 Roma Roma 2-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ

Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
1-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
502 Passes 288
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Roma vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma and Athletic Bilbao couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roma at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Roma had 60% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 40%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Roma vs Athletic Bilbao?

Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Europa League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Roma 52%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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