Lyon 2-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 27% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.45
X/2
10%
8.15
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
11%
5.62
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.43/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.90
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
16.5 Crosses 12.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Olympiakos
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.11.2005 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-4 HT 1-2 Lyon Lyon ŞMP
19.10.2005 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
2-0
AWAY Olympiakos
1.48 xG 1.43
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
507 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyon vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon beat Olympiakos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lyon had 63% of the ball to Olympiakos's 37%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.48 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lyon and 1.00 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Lyon vs Olympiakos?

Lyon 2-0 Olympiakos in the UEFA Europa League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lyon 45%, draw 28%, Olympiakos 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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