FCSB 4-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
23%
4.09
X/2
13%
8.45
X/X
7%
4.81
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.56
2/X
10%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
4-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.86 xG 0.68
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
507 Passes 314
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB cruised past Rigas Skola 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FCSB had 59% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 41%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.86 to 0.68.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Rigas Skola?

FCSB 4-1 Rigas Skola in the UEFA Europa League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FCSB 49%, draw 25%, Rigas Skola 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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