Sporting Braga vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Maccabi Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga edged past Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 57% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 43%, shots finished 31-10, expected goals 3.31 to 1.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Braga's control.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Sporting Braga 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 53%, draw 20%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.