Malmö FF 0-2 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 26 Sep 2024

Malmö FF
0-2 HT 0-1
Rangers
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Malmö FF vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.0
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
10%
5.01
X/2
10%
6.77
X/X
17%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.61
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.27/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.39
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
12.5 Crosses 14.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Malmö FF vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2021 Rangers Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF ŞMP
03.08.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers ŞMP
03.08.2011 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers ŞMP
26.07.2011 Rangers Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF ŞMP

Malmö FF 0-2 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
0-2
AWAY Rangers
0.44 xG 2.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
446 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers got the better of Malmö FF 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 60% of the ball to Rangers's 40%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.44 to 2.63.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malmö FF and 0.75 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Rangers?

Malmö FF 0-2 Rangers in the UEFA Europa League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 42%, draw 31%, Rangers 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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