Ajax vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Ajax
ŞMP
2-0
HT 2-0
Beşiktaş
ŞMP
Ajax 4-0 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax cruised past Beşiktaş 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, Ajax had 47% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 53%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.23 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajax and 0.50 for Beşiktaş.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Beşiktaş?
Ajax 4-0 Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Beşiktaş?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajax 45%, draw 24%, Beşiktaş 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.