Rangers 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.14
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
11%
12.95
X/1
14%
6.21
X/2
13%
5.39
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.70/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.94
-33% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.5 Crosses 11.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 11
250 Passes 486
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 45
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-3 HT 1-2 Rangers Rangers AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
0-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.97 xG 1.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
23 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
400 Passes 631
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 33
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe beat Rangers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fenerbahçe found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rangers had 40% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 60%, shots finished 23-21, expected goals 0.97 to 1.88.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Fenerbahçe?

Rangers 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rangers 35%, draw 27%, Fenerbahçe 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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